David Simmonds Consultancy Limited

 

Suite 4, Bishop Bateman Court,

5-7 New Park Street, 

CB5 8AT, Cambridge, England 

Phone: +44 (0) 1223 316098

 

112 George Street, 

Edinburgh, Scotland EH2 4LH

Phone +44 (0) 131 226 5908

People

Individual e-mail addresses are firstname.secondname@davidsimmonds.com.

David Simmonds

Director

David Simmonds studied Town and Country Planning at the University of Newcastle upon Tyne, and the use of mathematical models in urban planning for his PhD at Cambridge. During the 1980s he worked for the London Transport Executive as an Economic Analyst, and for Marcial Echenique & Partners as a consultant and subsequently as Technical Director. In 1990 David left ME&P to set up David Simmonds Consultancy, particularly to develop and apply improved methods of forecasting the interactions between land-use, transport and the economy. This led to the development first of the DSCMOD approach and, in 1995, to the first version of the DELTA package. David has since directed a wide range of DELTA-based projects including forecasts used in public inquiries for Edinburgh Congestion Charging and the M74 completion, and work for the Eddington Study. He has also been responsible for a numerous other studies including contributions to the SACTRA report on Transport and the Economy.

Andy Dobson

Director

Andy Dobson studied Town and Country Planning at the University of Newcastle upon Tyne, and Operational Research at Lancaster. Before moving to DSC he spent over 20 years working in local government having worked within planning and research for Cumbria County Council, the Peak Park Planning Board, Hereford and Worcester County Council and as Corporate Research Manager at the Borough of Poole. During this time he had a wide range of responsibilities relating to planning, demographic forecasting and both economic and housing analysis. Since arriving at DSC in March 2005, he has led projects that involve every stage of the land use planning and modelling process including the development of new models, the development of enhancements to the DELTA land use package and the use of models to appraise transport and land use policies and strategies
Recent projects have included:
• Project manager for DSC’s involvement in Transport Scotland’s LATIS Commission 2006 to present.
• Project manager for DSC’s inputs to Leicester and Leicestershire Integrated Transport  Model, 2010 to date.
• Project manager for FLUTE (the land use model for South Yorkshire) and the Sheffield City Region Infrastructure Fund City Deal bid
• Project manager for SITLUM since 2006 and more recently for the Glasgow and Clyde Valley Infrastructure Fund City Deal bid.
He was appointed as a Director of DSC in January 2009. This coincided with his establishing the Consultancy’s new Edinburgh office.

Richard Potter

Associate Consultant

Richard Potter has been an Associate with DSC since 2012. He studied Geography at the University of Southampton and Town and Country Planning at the University of Newcastle upon Tyne. He has worked in Town Planning, research and intelligence, and policy in Local Authorities in England, Scotland and Wales. He was seconded to the Office for National Statistics to help set up Neighbourhood Statistics. He also worked for the Government Office for the East of England as Head of Analysis, improving its analytical capability to become the highest rated Government Office. In 2011 Richard set up Analytics Cambridge and has worked with DSC on the Summertime/double summertime and the HS2 projects.

Tom Simpson

Managing Consultant

Tom is a specialist in land-use transport planning having worked in the field since his graduation. His experience at DSC has covered a number of topics including wider economic appraisal, simulation of transport interventions and extensive analysis of the complex patterns resulting from land-use and transport interaction.  Tom was worked on the whole range of the company’s modelling work, including data collection and preparation, running of land-use and transport models, analysis and understanding of results, preparation of GIS based outputs, formal reporting and presentation of results to clients as well as training clients to use DELTA software.  He is currently managing major projects in London, Hampshire and the West Midlands.

Mélanie Bosredon

Principal Consultant

Mélanie joined David Simmonds Consultancy in October 2005 after completing her Master’s studies in GIS and Remote Sensing at the University of Cambridge. She focused her M.Phil research on Transportation issues and undertook her final dissertation on Accessibility Modelling. Prior to joining DSC, Mélanie worked on various GIS-based projects related to diverse domains, including industrial risk assessment and agricultural management. At DSC she has initially involved in the programming of the DELTA package; she has since worked on a wide range of DELTA-based projects, as well as providing specialist GIS contributions across the firm’s work.  She was responsible for the coordination of the TELMoS project in Scotland from 2008 to 2010, and is currently managing the development of a national land-use/transport interaction model of France for the Société du Grand Paris.  In parallel, she is completing her PhD dissertation at the Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London.

Emma Revill

Principal Consultant

Emma is an economist specialising in land-use/tranport planning, modelling and economic appraisal.  She has substantial experience in developing new applications of DELTA and in running DELTA models to appraise land use and transport schemes. For Leicestershire County Council, Emma undertook original research using the LLITM Household Survey to inform the calibration of the land-use model. This involved estimating binary logit models for the probability of a household intending to move and multinomial logit models for a moving household’s choice of location.  More recently she has taken a leading role in the application of the FLUTE model for the Sheffield City Region.  She has worked on the Auckland model of DELTA since the rejoined the firm in 2006, and is currently managing the development of a new component to model land development taking account of competition from different types of floorspace.

Paul Minta

Principal Consultant

Paul is a transport and land-use planning specialist with a lot of experience in land use modelling and policy appraisal. He has worked extensively on developing new DELTA models and analysing the impacts of Transport and Landuse policies and schemes. He has also coordinated several projects by liaising with stake holders and clients.
He has experience in statistical data processing and has used numerous large government databases including Census, ONS, DfT and other similar data in creating DELTA model databases. He has extensive knowledge in GIS data systems and graphical presentations.
He has started coordinating work on the newly commissioned LLITM14 which is the rebuild of the Leicester and Leicestershire Integrated Transport Model  to be based on 2011 Census data and other recent research outcomes and is also heavily involved in building the FLUTE2014 model (Forecasting Land Use Transport and the Economy) for the Sheffield City Region Investment Plan.
He has recently coordinated work on the Glasgow City Deal scheme appraisal using the Strathclyde Integrated Transport and Landuse Model (SITLUM), a model he upgraded, for the Clyde Valley Infrastructure Funding. His other previous work included enhancing the Transport/Economic/Land Use Model of Scotland (TELMoS) and used that in Webtag appraisal of the A9 and A96 dualling.
Paul joined DSC in 2007 after completing a Masters in Transport Planning and Engineering from Edinburgh Napier University. Prior to his Master’s course, his earlier work included land and hydrographic surveys, and serving as a member of a team of engineering consultants who represented the Ministry of Works and Housing (Republic of Ghana), as client, in supervising the Keta Sea Defence and Resettlement Project in Ghana constructed by Great Lakes Dredge & Dock, U.S.A.

Valentina Nacar

Consultant

Valentina is a skilled consultant with expertise in land use planning, modelling and economic appraisal. She has been developing her technical skills in the field since she first joined DSC in 2010. Her role at DSC consists of a wide range of tasks including: development, enhancement and calibration of DELTA land-use transport models; collection, manipulation and processing of data for the database creation; setting up and running tests for the appraisal of transport and land-use schemes and analysis and interpretation of the results including with the help of GIS tools and SPSS. She is also contributing to the developments and enhancements of new features for the DELTA software. She has experience in liaising with other consultants and interacting with clients.

Amy Fotheringham

Consultant

Amy is an economist with experience in land use planning, modelling, economic analysis and appraisal. Her work at DSC has covered the range of activities related to DELTA applications: from the preparation of input data for wholly new models through model calibration and operation to the production and reporting of both standard and innovative appraisals of land-use and economic impacts.  She has been heavily involved in the updating and application of the LonLUTI model which DSC operates for Transport for London, including the testing of a new interface to the LTS strategic transport model.  For HS2 Ltd she implemented much of the analysis to calculate the regional and national economic impact of the interventions being tested in the model developed by DSC, which incorporated innovative methods for forecasting such impacts.  For Transport Scotland she has worked on a range of applications of the TELMoS model for scenario forecasting and scheme appraisal, and is now team coordinator for the project to deliver a new version of TELMoS updated to a 2014 base year.  In all of these she has been involved in liaison with clients and other consultants as well as in the technical tasks.  She has also coordinated and contributed to internal training courses for new DSC staff.

Carmela Sibilla

Senior Analyst

Carmela is a transport engineer working with the application of land-use transport models. She has experience in map production using GIS techniques, design of road infrastructures, transport environmental impacts and the safety, management and maintenance of buildings. Whilst at the Engineering Department of Palma Campania Council, Italy, she examined in depth the railway infrastructure and roadwork system of the local area.
Whilst working at DSC in 2015, she made extensive use of the SETLUM DELTA model of South Essex, and contributed to a range of other projects.  Since returning in early 2015, she has been heavily involved in the preparation of the database for a new version of the TELMoS model of Scotland, and in a wide range of other project work.

Antonio Sposaro

​Senior Analyst

Antonio is qualified in Civil and Environmental Engineering.  His studies led to his thesis, ‘High Speed Rail Systems Impact: An Overview on the World’, covering the technology of transport systems and interaction between demand and supply. During his studies, he contributed estimating the traffic flow in city of Naples and worked on finding a possible solution to reduce congestion in the city centre by diverging the traffic flow onto peripheral roads. His background includes transport modelling by means of through the logit model and application of a multi-regional input-output model for freight transport planning and logistics. Since joining DSC he has worked intensively on North and South Hampshire projects and the development of a prototype Business Land Model for Auckland Council. More recently he has been working on the development of a  new version of the LLITM model of Leicestershire.

Stanimira Georgieva

Senior Analyst

Stanimira’s original qualifications were in psychology and neuroscience, in which fields she gained experience in experimental design, data collection and analysis, statistical forecasting, modelling and presentation.  Since joining DSC, she has worked in particular on implementation of integrated land-use/transport appraisal (originally known as LUTEE, now ULTrA) in connection with Transport for London’s land-use/transport interaction model, LonLUTI, and on the development of a land-use/economic model of France, as well as assisting colleagues in work for HS2 Ltd and the Welsh Government.

Polly Jackson

Senior Analyst

Polly is experienced in data collection, cleansing, collation and analysis from a wide range of sources such as ONS, CLG, Land Registry and Hometrack.  She has designed and conducted surveys, assisted with focus groups for the collection of primary data, and is now working on creating databases for land-use modelling, on running the DELTA package and on analysis and interpretation of model results.

Laura Lees

Senior Analyst

Laura recently joined David Simmonds Consultancy upon completion of her undergraduate degree in Economics at the University of Stirling. During her studies she undertook modules in core economic theory and econometrics, as well as specialised electives including, but not limited to, behavioural, financial and applied economics. She has experience in experimental design, data collection and quantitative data analysis using both primary and secondary data. Her final year dissertation was a behavioural economic/econometric project where she designed a discrete-choice experiment to evaluate the impacts of calorie and unit labelling on stated consumer choice at the point-of-purchase of alcohol. This involved econometric analysis in the form of a conditional logit model as well as OLS and multiple regressions on the STATA software package, initial analysis and data cleansing on Microsoft Excel, and considerable primary data collection and survey design using the Qualtrics survey platform. Since joining DSC she has worked intensively on the London and HS2 projects, and more recently on development of the new version of the TELMoS model of Scotland.

Elena Chinto

Senior Analyst

Elena Chinto is an economist who has specialized in developing linear regression models. She joined David Simmonds Consultancy in June, 2016 after completing a MSc in International Business and Finance with Distinction at the University of Dundee. Her dissertation project was an econometrical analysis of the impact of oil price movements on the macroeconomic indicators of the largest oil producing and importing countries in Europe and the USA. This was a Vector Autoregressive approach consider the causality of oil price fluctuations and economic performance of the selected countries. Prior to her postgraduate studies she obtained a Bachelor Degree with honours in Economics from the University of Piraeus. During her undergraduate studies she conducted research and statistical analysis on the political factors and decisions that influence economic development. Additionally, she volunteered to help a PhD student develop and analyze linear regression models to support their research. These used SPSS and Eviews.

Emma Liddell

Senior Analyst

Emma joined David Simmonds Consultancy in July 2016 having previously worked as a GIS Technician in the Asset Management department at CVU as part of the London Highways Alliance Contract (LOHAC). During her employment at CVU she assisted with the maintenance of TfL’s asset database for Central London which was important for the ongoing development of an investment program for the Central London road network. Prior to her employment at CVU, Emma completed a Masters degree in Applied Geographical Information Systems and Remote Sensing at the University of Southampton. This gave her extensive knowledge in the use of GIS for a wide range of applications including; digitisation, cartography, environmental management applications (including the incorporation of Environmental Impact Assessments), location-allocation and cost-distance surface modelling, and creating transport networks. She also took modules in remote sensing and has experience writing algorithms in IDL to extract and manipulate remotely sensed data in order to analyse land cover change over time. The aim of her Masters dissertation was to quantify the link between deforestation and changes in global malaria prevalence using forest cover data taken from the LANDSAT satellite and survey data from the Malaria Atlas Project. This project required the use of GIS software to manipulate large datasets and carry out large scale statistical analysis.

Alistair Halls

Senior Analyst

Alistair joined DSC soon after completing a degree in Geography at King’s College London. During his time at university, Alistair studied a vast array of different subject matters. This included urban (economic) geography, for which he penned an incisive piece examining firm location and spillover effects through a reading of Jane Jacobs’ Cities and the Wealth of Nations; and discussed how ‘smart cities’ policy has shaped Manchester. Alistair’s interests lie in modelling and GIS, and through his degree he pursued both of these, both within seminars and modules and in his dissertation. His dissertation looked at the need for incorporating time-dependent travel times into the optimisation of ambulance station locations, with a focus specifically on genetic algorithm-based modelling. To determine this, travel data from ambulances over a 12-month period was analysed and incorporated into bespoke inputs for a genetic algorithm/optimisation model. Prior to and during his degree, Alistair worked for a management consultancy firm specialising in health, the emergency services and facilities access. It was here that he developed an interest in GIS and modelling, operating the company’s many different models and utilising advanced GIS techniques. A key achievement at the company involved developing a method of analysing travel data and incorporating it into time-dependent travel time inputs for models – something studied further in his dissertation.

Elaine M Maclean

Analyst

Elaine is a Mathematician with a background in combinatorics and applied mathematics. She joined David Simmonds Consultancy in June 2017 having worked as a Data Analyst in the technology expense management sector. She obtained a BSc(Hons) in Mathematics from Heriot-Watt University and a BA in Scottish Gàidhlig from Sabhal Mòr Ostaig (UHI). Within the field of combinatorics and statistical mechanics, Elaine’s dissertation focused on tilings of finite discrete structures in planar regions. Within the project, an algorithm for generating random domino tilings of discrete structures was scrutinised and subsequently optimised in order to efficiently encode the algorithm in the mathematical software package MATLAB. The project also explored the connection between the domino tilings and alternating sign matrices with relations to the six vertex model of statistical mechanics. Gaining proficiency in numerical analysis granted her the ability to analyse complex data sets, scrutinise and examine various approximation methods for systems of differential equations with applications in thermal imaging and planetary motion. Furthermore, mathematical biology modules provided her with thorough understanding of mathematical modelling. Such models were used to describe population dynamics, epidemiological and evolutionary processes in ecological systems.

Deimante Norbontaite

Analyst

Deimante holds a MA (Hons) degree in Economics & Finance as well as MSc in Petroleum, Energy Economics & Finance from the University of Aberdeen. The university degree that she undertook equipped her with the analytical and quantitative skills that are fundamental for complex decision- making in modern organizations. It developed her ability to handle large amounts of data and examine a wide range of economic and financial issues. Moreover, it enhanced her financial reporting, IT and modelling skills (VAR, NPV analysis, Monte Carlo simulation), whilst emphasizing the importance of interaction between technology and business processes. In her MSc dissertation research, she employed five-variable vector autoregressive models to analyse a novel topic: whether changes in crude oil prices affect economic growth in China and India. Her dissertation was awarded with distinction and she achieved the award of Master’s Degree with Commendation. Prior to joining DSC, Deimante worked as a Business Data Analyst at TMA Data Management where she was managing receipt of complex half hourly electricity data and processing through key applications to produce data flows to customers.

Loïc Reyes

Analyst

Loïc Reyes is a student at ENTPE completing its diploma through a six-months internship within David Simmonds Consultancy. At ENTPE, he undertook modules such as Geomatics applied to Transport, Transport Economics, Transport Demand Analysis and Prevision, Tools and Uses of Transport/Space Modelling during his studies. 
His final year dissertation is a follow-up of a previous dissertation on using a hedonic price model carried out by Nikos Patias. Loïc’s dissertation deals with the influence of transport and accessibility parameters on real estate prices. This involves both spatial and statistical analysis. Multilinear regression analysis and GIS framework are the main tools for this dissertation.

Roxanne Pieterse

Analyst

Roxanne joined David Simmonds Consultancy in August 2017. She has an MPhil in Engineering for Sustainable Development with distinction from the University of Cambridge and an undergraduate in chemical engineering. Her MPhil dissertation used multiple regression analysis to investigate the drivers of human development and resource consumption. Prior to joining DSC, Roxanne worked as a sustainability consultant in South Africa, where she did environmental impact calculations and qualitative research. 
Since joining DSC, Roxanne has contributed to several ongoing projects through preparing input data, setting up and running land-use/transport interaction models and checking their performance, analysing and interpreting model outputs, and preparing GIS based outputs and graphics for use in reports and presentations for clients.

Darren Jackson

Analyst

Darren recently joined David Simmonds Consultancy upon completion of his first-class undergraduate degree in Economics at the University of Stirling. During his studies he undertook modules in core macro/micro economic theory and econometrics, as well as specialised electives including, but not limited to, financial, monetary and applied economics. The wide varying degree allowed for advanced understanding of economic concepts and their application; often in a very applied manner.
Darren’s final year dissertation was an empirical analysis of the effect of changes in Value-Added Tax (VAT) rates on economic growth through changes in household consumption across 23 EU countries. This involved econometric analysis using two OLS multiple regression models on the STATA software package, with data collected from several macro and national data sources.

Simon Sutcliffe

Programmer

Simon Sutcliffe joined DSC in 2001 having completed his A-levels in Maths, Physics and Computing at the Lawrence Sheriff School in Rugby, Warwickshire. Simon joined as Technical Assistant to oversee the network of computers and to program DELTA. He organised the networking infrastructure for two office moves and has programmed DELTA since starting in 2001. In July 2005 Simon was promoted to Programmer. He has worked extensively on the whole DELTA model, including the creation of graphical interfaces to the tabulation and initial test setup. On non-DELTA matters Simon has created a user-editable Knowledge base, a file exchange facility and an electronic DELTA Change control system to enhance the transfer of information within DSC. Simon currently resides in Auckland, New Zealand, working remotely on DELTA and other programming tasks.

 

 

David Simmonds Consultancy Limited is registered in England and Wales, company registration 04860878. The registered office is 10 Jesus Lane, Cambridge CB5 8BA